- Goldman Sachs raised its recession odds from 25% to 35% on Thursday.
- The Wall Street firm's new outlook stems from "increased near-term uncertainty," the strategists said.
- The bank turmoil with Silicon Valley Bank, Credit Suisse, and others has fueled unrest in the global economy.
Goldman Sachs just raised its odds for a recession as turmoil in the banking system continues to unfold.
Strategists led by Goldman's chief economist, Jan Hatzius, said there's now a 35% chance of a US recession, up from the bank's previous forecast of 25%. They cited "increased near-term uncertainty" surrounding the effects of small bank stress.
Thursday's research note follows a separate forecast from Goldman that slashed 2023 GDP outlook by 0.3% to 1.2%.