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Mortgage rates have dropped significantly so far this week.
The failure of Silicon Valley Bank on Friday and Tuesday's release of the latest consumer price index data have investors betting that the Federal Reserve may opt to pause its hikes to the federal funds rate at its meeting in March. This has allowed mortgage rates to fall.
In February, the CPI rose 6% year over year. This marks another month of cooling prices, though core CPI showed a slight month-over-month increase.
As inflation slows, mortgage rates will likely trend down further. But borrowers should prepare for some potential volatility in the coming weeks and months as the Fed navigates the fallout from the SVB collapse.
Mortgage Rates Today
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30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
The current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.73%, according to Freddie Mac. This is an increase from the previous week.
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is the most common type of home loan. With this type of mortgage, you'll pay back what you borrowed over 30 years, and your interest rate won't change for the life of the loan.
The lengthy 30-year term allows you to spread out your payments over a long period of time, meaning you can keep your monthly payments lower and more manageable. The trade-off is that you'll have a higher rate than you would with shorter terms or adjustable rates.
15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
The average 15-year fixed mortgage rate is 5.95%, an increase from the prior week, according to Freddie Mac data.
If you want the predictability that comes with a fixed rate but are looking to spend less on interest over the life of your loan, a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage might be a good fit for you. Because these terms are shorter and have lower rates than 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, you could potentially save tens of thousands of dollars in interest. However, you'll have a higher monthly payment than you would with a longer term.
Are Mortgage Rates Going Up?
Mortgage rates started ticking up from historic lows in the second half of 2021 and increased significantly in 2022. But mortgage rates are expected to trend down this year.
In the last 12 months, the consumer price index rose by 6%. The Federal Reserve has been working to get inflation under control, and is expected to keep the federal funds rate elevated until it comes down to the Fed's target rate of 2%.
Inflation remains elevated, but has started to slow, which is a good sign for mortgage rates and the broader economy.
How Do Fed Rate Hikes Affect Mortgages?
The Fed has been increasing the federal funds rate to try to slow economic growth and get inflation under control.
Mortgage rates aren't directly impacted by changes to the federal funds rate, but they often trend up or down ahead of Fed policy moves. This is because mortgage rates change based on investor demand for mortgage-backed securities, and this demand is often impacted by how investors expect Fed hikes to affect the broader economy.
As inflation starts to come down, mortgage rates should, too. But the Fed has indicated that it's watching for sustained signs of slowing inflation, and it's not going to lower rates again any time soon — though it has started opting for smaller hikes.
Are HELOCs a Good Idea Right Now?
Many homeowners gained a lot of equity over that past few years as home prices increased at an unprecedented rate. But because rates are so high now, tapping into that equity can be expensive.
For homeowners looking to leverage their home's value to cover a big purchase — such as a home renovation — a home equity line of credit (HELOC) may still be a good option.
A HELOC is a line of credit that lets you borrow against the equity in your home. It works similarly to a credit card in that you borrow what you need rather than getting the full amount you're borrowing in a lump sum.
Depending on your finances and the type of HELOC you get, you may be able to get a better rate with a HELOC than you would with a home equity loan or a cash-out refinance. Just keep in mind that HELOC rates are variable, so if rates start to trend up further, yours will likely increase, as well.