- Fears of a coming earnings recession might be overblown, says BMO Capital Markets.
- Historical data shows four of the last seven earnings recessions didn't coincide with economic contractions.
- BMO also found that the S&P 500 during 16 profit recessions since 1948 rose by an average of 5.9% in the next six months.
A recession in corporate earnings is arriving, with profit pulling back from record highs. But that doesn't set in stone a recession for the world's largest economy, and large-cap stocks can push through to deliver solid returns, according to the top investing strategist at BMO Capital Markets.