Howdy, readers. Phil Rosen here, reporting from New York City. 

For many months now, I've been having conversations and writing about economic indicators that all point to a recession. 

But it still hasn't officially happened yet, at least according to the secretive, little-known group that's responsible for declaring them. They've stayed mum even as the economy goes haywire.

In any case, there's a batch of signals in the American trucking industry that have been trying to warn us for months that there's trouble ahead — and plenty of turmoil that's already here.