US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell
US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
  • The two-year Treasury yield has been falling but that's done little to juice the S&P 500, DataTrek says.
  • The two-year yield reflects investor expectations for Fed policy moves. 
  • That rate has been moving lower as investors anticipate rate cuts this year.

There is a "telling" decoupling between stocks and a closely watched Treasury yield that reflects how investors foresee the Federal Reserve moving on monetary policy, says DataTrek.