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Small businesses are feeling the pain of credit conditions.
  • Smaller firms are struggling under the weight of interest rates and rising defaults are a recessionary signal. 
  • According to Societe Generale, credit conditions at small companies are in line with what's seen in a downturn. 
  • "The notion that we are at the start of a new economic cycle seems preposterous to me," Albert Edwards wrote. 

Big Tech and the "Magnificent Seven" stocks powering big gains for the S&P 500 this year may be getting all the attention from investors, but there's another, arguably more important, corner of the market that's quietly struggling—and its troubles are a sign a recession is probably looming.