US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell
US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell attends a press conference in Washington, DC, on March 22, 2023.
  • Recent inflation data has convinced markets of a dovish pivot by the Federal Reserve.
  • But the market wrongly priced in a looser stance at least six times in the last few years, Deutsche Bank wrote.
  • While this time could be true, inflation is hardest to combat in the final stretch, analysts warned.

The stock market has been on a tear over the last month on hopes for a dovish pivot from the Federal Reserve, but investors have seen this movie before.

In fact, markets have incorrectly priced in such a pivot six times over the last two years, according to Deutsche Bank, which sounded cautious about this seventh time.