Shoppers in crowded mall during holidays 2022
RBC Global Asset Management assigns a 70% probability for a recession in 2024, according to its year-ahead outlook.
  • RBC Global Asset Management put the odds of a recession in 2024 at 70%.
  • In the firm's 2024 outlook, strategists shared six reasons why they hold that view.
  • "A recession can be expected to inflict very real pain on businesses and households, and cascade into financial markets as well."

The Federal Reserve's interest-rate hiking cycle has yet to tip the US economy into a downturn, but RBC Global Asset Management put the odds of a recession in 2024 at 70%.