Russian vehicles in a field smoke with a big explosion
A still from footage filmed near Avdiivka shows hits on Russian vehicles in October.
  • Tank assaults have gone poorly for both Russia and Ukraine because they can't surprise each other.
  • Flat terrain and lots of drones mean defenders see the tanks coming, an expert told BI.
  • Ukraine stopped attempting such attacks, while Russia persisted despite frequent defeats.

Neither Russia nor Ukraine has been able to pull off successful tank assaults — and there is a clear reason.

The flat terrain and number of drones in the sky make it too hard to surprise the other side, an expert told Business Insider.

Riley Bailey, a Russia analyst at the Institute for the Study of War think tank, said the attacks were unlikely to work without surprise.