a row of homes in San Francisco
The lock-in effect isn't going away as inventory remains tight and demand returns.
  • Easing mortgage rates won't fully unwind the "lock in" effect, Capital Economics said.
  • Home moves and market activity will remain muted even if borrowing costs become more attractive.
  • Rising buyer demand and low inventory will drive prices 5% higher this year, the firm said. 

The frozen US housing market may not fully thaw for years to come, according to Capital Economics.