Biden
President Joe Biden speaks during a reproductive freedom campaign event at Hillsborough Community College in Tampa, Fla., on April 23, 2024.
  • The Biden campaign sees abortion as an issue that can put Florida in play for Democrats this fall.
  • Floridians will vote on a ballot measure that could enshrine abortion rights in the state constitution.
  • But it'll be a tough road for Democrats, as registered Republicans now outnumber them in the state.

In recent decades, Florida was often seen as the quintessential presidential swing state.

Republicans dominated the Panhandle and North Florida, while Democrats usually cleaned up in Miami, with the I-4 corridor between the Orlando and Tampa areas serving as a swing region where independents often helped decide the outcome of statewide races.