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- AI researcher Roman Yampolskiy estimates a 99.9% chance of AI leading to human extinction.
- He said no AI model so far has been safe, and it's unlikely that future models will be bug-free.
- Other AI researchers have said been more moderate in estimates about AI leading to extinction.
Podcaster Lex Fridman said in a recent episode that most AI engineers he speaks with estimate between a one and 20% chance that artificial general intelligence will eventually kill off humans.
The prediction varies depending on how you ask. For example, a recent study conducted with 2,700 AI researchers indicated there's only a 5% chance that AI will lead to human extinction.