Erdogan's future is in doubt, but Turkey's ties to Russia and tensions with the US aren't going anywhere

• Turkey is heading to an election that may unseat its longtime leader, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
• Western observers dislike Erdogan's foreign policy, but a different leader is unlikely to change course.
• Matthew C. Mai is a research associate at Defense Priorities.

On May 14, Turkish voters will head to the ballot box to elect their next president.