Officers and soldiers are conducting search training in Guiyang, Guizhou Province, China, on January 5, 2024.
Officers and soldiers are conducting search training in Guiyang, Guizhou Province, China, on January 5, 2024.
  • The US military is likely to intervene if China enacts a quarantine or blockade in China, experts say.
  • A CSIS survey of 52 experts found that 63% believe a quarantine would provoke a US response.
  • And 79% of those surveyed said they were at least "moderately confident" the Pentagon would step in during a blockade.

The threshold for US military intervention in Taiwan likely isn't an invasion from China, but a lesser action such as Beijing quarantining or blockading the island, according to a loose consensus from leading experts in the US.