Inflation

Good morning readers. Phil Rosen here. It's jobs day today. 

If the reading comes in too hot, the Fed's going to have even more ammunition to push interest rates higher in the coming months — and every move higher tightens the screws on the economy even more, ramping up risk of a recession. 

Good morning. I'm Phil Rosen, writing to you just blocks away from the Federal Reserve building in Manhattan. 

Yesterday on Capitol Hill, Jerome Powell reiterated his warning that the Fed's more than ready to keep jacking up rates if necessary. 

Inflation hasn't gone away as easily as policymakers want, and Powell thinks that may just warrant a steeper policy path. 

He did make clear, however, that nothing yet is set in stone (traders have doubled the expected odds of a half-point hike at this month's meeting).