Kalshi and Polymarket correctly predicted 19 out of 24 Oscar winners. Here are the ones they missed.

Tech Insider : Business
The Oscars ceremony on March 15
In five categories, the film favored by traders on Kalshi and Polymarket ultimately did not win the Oscar.

Richard Harbaugh/Bill Barnes/The Academy/Getty Images

Who is favored to win an Oscar, according to Kalshi and Polymarket

Tech Insider : Business, Sports
An Oscar statuette
If bettors are correct, "One Battle After Another" will take home six Oscars, while "Sinners" is each set to win four.

Emma McIntyre/WireImage via Getty Images

4 burning questions hanging over Nvidia's GTC summit next week

Tech Insider : Business, Technology
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang speaking at an event.
Nvidia cofounder and CEO Jensen Huang.

Caroline Brehman / AFP via Getty Images

Watch out, prediction markets. The 'super apps' are coming.

Tech Insider : Business, Crypto, Sports
man looking at phone

Catherine Falls Commercial/Getty Images

The Iran war is bringing a new wave of pressure onto prediction markets

Tech Insider : Politics, Business
Sen. Chris Murphy
Sen. Chris Murphy is planning to introduce a bill to ban prediction market trading on government actions.

Tom Brenner/Getty Images

Kalshi's response to its $2.2 million Iran mess: More fine print

Tech Insider : Business, Sports
Kalshi logo on phone

Kristian Tuxen Ladegaard Berg/NurPhoto via Getty Images

Polymarket takes down nuclear detonation bet after online backlash

Tech Insider : Business
Polymarket logo
The prediction market would've paid out to traders if a nuclear weapon had been detonated anywhere in the world before a specific date.

Illustration by Omar Marques/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images

Khamenei's killing spurs outrage among Kalshi and Polymarket users over claims of rigged markets and insider trading

Tech Insider : Business, Politics
A missile arcs through a blue sky, with the gray structure of a US Navy ship imposing overhead from the right.
Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Thomas Hudner (DDG 116) fires a Tomahawk land attack missile in support of Operation Epic Fury, Mar. 1, 2026.

Kulani Lakanaria / U.S. Central Command Public Affairs / U.S. Navy

Who is Michael Selig? Meet the Trump administration's prediction market regulator

Tech Insider : Politics, Business, Crypto
CTFC Chairman Michael Selig
Michael Selig, the chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, at a confirmation hearing in November.

Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

The political fight over prediction markets is heating up

Tech Insider : Politics, Business, Sports
CFTC Chairman Michael Selig
CFTC Chairman Michael Selig is siding with prediction markets in their ongoing legal battles with state regulators.

Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

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