I've studied past assassination attempts in US politics. The most similar one to Trump's resulted in a loss in the election.

Tech Insider : Politics
Donald Trump is rushed offstage after a shooting at a campaign rally. Secret Service members surround him as he raises his fist in the air.
Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump is rushed offstage during a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, on July 13, 2024.

Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

Subscribe to famous-assassinations