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A recession indicator with a perfect record has been flashing red for 20 months. It may not be wrong yet.

Mon, 06/10/2024 - 08:25

Tech Insider : Economy, Economy

Stock market crash recession graph — Yuichiro Chino/Getty Images

economy, trending-uk, economy, yield-curve, inverted-yield-curve, us-economy-and-markets, Recession

The inventor of Wall Street's favorite recession indicator predicts a slowdown this year - and slams the Fed for making things worse

Fri, 01/26/2024 - 07:03

Tech Insider : Economy, Economy

Traders signal offers in the Five-Year Treasury Note Options pit at the Chicago Board of Trade — The professor who invented Wall Street's favorite recession indicator expects a US slowdown this year.
Scott Olson/Getty Images)

economy, economy, us-markets-and-economy, yield-curve, inverted-yield-curve, campbell-harvey, Inflation

The S&P 500 looks risky, there's a 75% chance of recession this year, and a firing frenzy is looming, elite investor Jeffrey Gundlach says

Mon, 01/15/2024 - 09:08

Tech Insider : Economy

Jeffrey Gundlach — Jeffrey Gundlach.
Richard Drew/AP

Markets, economy, mi-exclusive, Markets, Stocks, jeffrey-gundlach, stock-market-outlook

Recession deniers are making the same mistake as during the dot-com and housing bubbles, top economist David Rosenberg says

Tue, 01/02/2024 - 10:50

Tech Insider : Economy, Economy

David Rosenberg — David Rosenberg.
CNBC

economy, economy, us-markets-and-economy, david-rosenberg, rosenberg-research, Inflation, Recession

The founder of the market's most famous recession indicator says the Fed overdid it with rate hikes and a downturn is still coming

Fri, 11/03/2023 - 10:52

stock market crash — Getty Images

Markets, mi-exclusive, yield-curve, bond-market, bond-market-crash, Recession, fed-rate-hike

All the signs are pointing to a recession that'll cost Americans their jobs, veteran bond investor Jeff Gundlach says: 'Layoffs are coming'

Thu, 11/02/2023 - 06:12

Tech Insider : Economy, Economy

Jeff Gundlach — DoubleLine Capital founder Jeffrey Gundlach.
Matt Winkelmeyer/Getty Images

economy, Markets, economy, Markets, Bonds, jeffrey-gundlach, Unemployment

A disorderly shift in Japan's monetary policy could spark bond-market contagion and increase risks of a 'financial accident,' Mohamed El-Erian says

Mon, 10/30/2023 - 14:32

mohamed el-erian pimco — Mohamed El-Erian
REUTERS/Fred Prouser

Markets, mi-exclusive, mohamed-el-erian, monetary-policy, federal-reserve, interest-rates, bond-market

'Bond King' Bill Gross sees a recession in the 4th quarter and reveals what he's doing with his money

Tue, 10/24/2023 - 07:45

Bill Gross — Bill Gross
REUTERS/Jim Young

Markets, mi-exclusive, bill-gross, recession-outlook, bond-market, bond-king, PIMCO

Investors are repeating a big mistake they made before the 2008 crash and financial crisis, top economist says

Tue, 10/24/2023 - 07:13

Tech Insider : Economy

David Rosenberg — David Rosenberg.
CNBC

Markets, mi-exclusive, Markets, economy, us-markets-and-economy, Inflation, Recession

Goldman Sachs says the yield curve isn't signalling a recession this time, but a restrictive Fed policy

Tue, 09/19/2023 - 05:26

Goldman Sachs — Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

Markets, mi-exclusive, Markets, goldman-sachs, yield-curve, yield-curve-inversion, Recession

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