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A recession indicator with a perfect record has been flashing red for 20 months. It may not be wrong yet.
Mon, 06/10/2024 - 08:25
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The inventor of the market's most famous recession indicator says 3 factors will ensure a coming downturn isn't too painful
Wed, 02/07/2024 - 14:48
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The inventor of Wall Street's favorite recession indicator predicts a slowdown this year - and slams the Fed for making things worse
Fri, 01/26/2024 - 07:03
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The professor who invented Wall Street's favorite recession indicator expects a US slowdown this year.
Scott Olson/Getty Images)
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Inflation
The inventor of the market's most famous recession indicator is confident the inverted yield curve is accurately calling a slowdown in 2024
Sat, 01/20/2024 - 12:17
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The bond market's notorious indicator is correctly signaling a coming recession, and the Fed has made a major mistake, the economist who coined the inverted yield curve says
Thu, 09/21/2023 - 15:21
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Economy
The curve, which measures the spread between the 3-month and 10-year Treasury yields, has correctly predicted every recession since 1968.
Jacquelyn Martin/AP
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